Volume and order flow analysis

Twelve lessons on reading a chart from what actually traded rather than from price alone — trend structure, volume-based levels, delta, the order book and the tape, and the risk management without which none of it matters.

Free to read, no account, and nothing here requires owning anything of ours.

What this covers, and what it assumes

The material starts at Dow theory and ends at the tape. It assumes you can read a candlestick chart and nothing beyond that — every term is defined where it first appears.

It is written for futures and for the instruments that report real volume, because most of what follows depends on knowing how much actually traded and on which side. Where a method degrades on an instrument without real volume, the lesson says so.

The lessons are ordered. Each one assumes the ones before it, and the first three are the foundation the rest is built on.

The twelve lessons

A rising market with its higher highs and higher lows marked, divided into the accumulation, participation and distribution phases

Lesson 1

Trend, structure and Dow theory brought up to date

What a trend is when you define it by structure rather than by a moving average, why the three phases behave differently, and how to tell a pullback from a break.

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A pullback into a prior level with the entry circled, a stop beneath it and two targets above

Lesson 2

Entry setups for trend trading

Where to actually get in once the trend is identified: twelve setups — the hammer, the double outside, Midas VWAP and delta divergence — each with the risk he puts on it.

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Price making a higher high while the delta histogram below it makes a lower high

Lesson 3

Market delta cycles and delta divergence

When price makes a new high and the buying behind it does not, something has changed. Reading that, and why the market so often comes back to the level where it started.

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A volume profile beside price, with a level drawn at the high volume node and a thin area above it

Lesson 4

Support and resistance built from volume

Levels drawn from where business was actually done rather than from where a line fits. Structural against statistical, and what a thin area predicts.

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A depth ladder of resting bids and offers beside a running tape of executed trades

Lesson 5

The order book, the tape and market speed

Aggressive against passive: who is waiting, who is paying up, and what iceberg orders and a change in speed tell you that price alone does not.

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A spike below the previous day low taking out resting stops, followed by a reversal

Lesson 6

Stop hunting, and entering after it

Why price so often takes yesterday's low by a few points and turns, how to recognise it while it happens, and the entry that follows.

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A percentage risk shrinking with a falling balance, beside a three step exit ladder

Lesson 7

Risk and trade management

The arithmetic that decides whether an account survives a bad month: percentage risk, lot sizing, the daily and weekly ceilings, and scaling out.

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Time bars of varying height above range bars of identical height

Lesson 8

Scalping with range bars and aggressive data

A range bar closes on movement, not on the clock. Why that suits short distances, and the aggressive data a scalp needs to be more than a coin toss.

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A quarterly contract on a timeline with its month code, beside a spot and a forward rate held apart by an interest rate differential

Lesson 9

Trading currency futures: contracts, rates and covered interest parity

Reading the symbol and the month code, and the parity rule that decides what a contract month is worth before anyone trades it — including where it stopped holding.

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Seven currency pair symbols arranged around the US dollar, each with its own average daily range and tick value

Lesson 10

The currency pairs, one at a time

Every pair he trades, with its symbol, its average daily range, what a pip is worth in futures against a CFD, and the economy underneath it — starting with the dollar that sits on the other side of all seven.

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Three index futures side by side with their point values and average daily ranges compared

Lesson 11

Stock index futures: ES, YM and NQ

What an index actually is, the news that moves one, and the three contracts — the S&P 500, the Dow and the Nasdaq 100 — with the range, the point value and the stop distance for each.

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A few large weights dominating an index, above the trading day split into pre market, regular and after hours

Lesson 12

What actually moves an index, and when

A handful of names carry most of the move, and the hours decide when it arrives. Pre market, the regular session, and why the edges behave differently.

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